Big Government

wikisuccess……

wikisuccess……

I have been stunned by the number of times I have asked friends and family about Wikileaks and their opinion last week and they knew nothing. Although Wikileaks was splashed all over the headlines, sadly it appears Cybermonday is far more important to most Americans. Last week the talk show personalities and government officials were quick to offer their condemnations, calling the actions of Wikileaks treasonous and criminal. Anytime the media, government, and the entire political spectrum agree it is worth considering the contrarian position. Personally, I have a strong contradictory opinion in support of Wikileaks and want to make a case for my opinion.

I have watched Wikileaks evolve over the last several years as a safe haven for whistleblower journalism. Julian Assange is an Australian born hacker who ran a software company and is the public persona of Wikileaks. The catalyst for the web site was capturing internet traffic in China, observations and secret emails by the Chinese government several years ago shared by dissidents who required extreme protection for fear of ultimate retaliation by the Chinese. With the protections of Swedish law regarding anonymity to sources of the Press, secure servers around the world, and safe drop boxes for information Wikileaks became the ultimate whistleblower web site. Not only has the site shared government secrets, but individuals have posted corporate details leading to arrests.

In April 2010, after funding and server problems, Assange splashed Wikileaks across the front pages of the news worldwide with the release of secret documents describing U.S. killings of civilians in Iraq in 2007. In July 2010 Wikileaks released the “Afghan War Diaries” and Assange was instantly condemned by both the press and government for recklessly putting troops in harm’s way through the document release. However, the Afghanistan documents brought to light government cover-ups regarding friendly fire and civilian casualties. At the time, I researched this release wondering about the legality and learned of a similar, earth shattering release of government information made by Daniel Ellsberg in 1971, “The Pentagon Papers.” Ellsberg was vindicated by the Supreme Court ruling the Constitution guarantees anonymity, at least in the area of political discourse.
With the release of last week’s documents, now labeled “cablegate”, Assange has become a permanent thorn to the U.S. government. Both sides of the aisle have called his acts treasonous and are seeking his arrest. He is reviled by many and wanted by Interpol, for consensual sex without a condom in Sweden. I argue the headlines are made to discredit Assange and tarnish his public reputation. Sarah Palin has blasted Assange, Clinton accused him of an ‘attack’ on the world, and Senator Lieberman successfully shutdown servers and related Wikileaks documents in the United States.

The documents show embarrassing corruption in the Afghanistan war, orders to spy on delegates to the United Nations by Secretary Clinton, and accusations of mafia like activities by the Russian government. I believe the documents show the true nature of our government, and governments worldwide, an elitist class of buffoons in charge of public policy using their positions of power to promote personal self interests. We all learn in high school we should live our lives as if our actions are to make front page headlines on the New York Times. In this case, with the release of documents dating back 40 years the true opinions and ineptness of our government officials is now public.

Those against the release of Wikileaks argue the documents will result in the loss of life to secretly placed operatives and erode progress of political negotiations, but no one has died as a result of Wikileaks. Cablegate has shed light on African governments stealing billions for personal gain, negotiations by the U.S. with terrorist nations, and acknowledgment of civilian loss of life in our wars. I am shocked the media is not more supportive of Wikileaks and can only assume the embarrassment of being “scooped” by one outside their ranks, similar to Matt Drudge during the Clinton years, has alienated support.

I argue government must be held to the highest standard, one that operates with ultimate transparency. Without the spotlight of transparency the citizens are subject to corruption, theft of public funds in the treasury, disregard of the law, and in some cases death. Assange promises the next release will reveal details of a large bank institution’s handling of the financial crisis. I believe public opinion and the media anchors will offer applause when Wikileaks offers the same insights inside a private corporation and comments similar to those made by our government leaders inside a board room would make the late night talk show monologues rife with jokes, not condemnation. I want my government held accountable and operating with the highest integrity and moral fortitude, I applaud Assange and his courageousness. History will reflect his actions as critical to the safety of citizens worldwide and changing the way government operates.

As I write this column, Saturday December 4th, 2010, the Wikileaks.org web site I visited multiple times earlier in the week is no longer accessible. Internet purists are working on new technologies to bypass government interventions and maintain ultimate freedom of information on the web. I do not live in China, I do not want censorship, and I do not want the tyranny of a government hiding from its own illegal acts.

December 9, 2010 by Big Government Civil Rights Controversy Mainstream Media Stupid People

Ants and Grasshoppers

Ants and Grasshoppers

I dictated this column ten days ago when the TSA backlash was first starting. Since 9/11 I have been questioning the policies of George Bush and the creation of the Department of Homeland Security. In October 2002 I had a letter published in the News-Journal predicting new airport security measures were similar to Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union. Removing shoes came next, I tried to resist but after being placed on the “TSA Watch List” and threatened by TSA I ultimately acquiesced and felt alone trying to stop this intrusion. TSA demonstrated its stupidity with its policy on liquids, watching me drink a bottle of Dasani water, clear and pure; requiring its disposal because it will explode.

Several weeks ago I saw a Tampa television station dutifully reporting about a multi-jurisdictional task force at the Greyhound bus station where FHP, TSA, and Border police were checking papers and searching passengers. The week before an Atlanta television station likewise reported about a comparable task force stopping trucks inbound on I-20 to pass through full size X-ray machines, check papers, and be searched. Sadly, Americans willfully reported they were glad to experience the inconvenience and felt safer, and no one seemed to question the right of the government or the warrantless search performed in direct contradiction to the Constitution, “The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized.”

This issue has moved beyond the requirement for airline security. Bush’s moves after 9/11, in the name of fighting terrorism, stole freedoms from Americans, undoing over 225 years of liberty: the Patriot Act created unprecedented warrantless spying, Homeland Security employees over 200,000 with a budget of $52 billion, and the relatively unknown support of the Courts to establish “Constitution Free Zones”. While you watch your elderly mother, wife, or teenage daughter undergo an intrusive, pat-down search, ask yourself by what authority has the government asserted this right.

The current fight is about the Ant and the Grasshopper, and the general failure of Americans to understand their Constitutional rights. We, the ants, are trying to resist the government grasshopper. If we succeed, we undo years of authoritarian success by the grasshopper.

November 24, 2010 by Big Government Freedom Terrorists

The Twilight Zone

The Twilight Zone

My buddy Noel and I were talking this week about the rising cost of fuel, unemployment, President Obama’s actions in Asia, rising gold prices, crashing housing prices, and “Dancing with the Stars”. I said it felt like we were in the “The Twilight Zone”. You see, Noel and I are the same age as each other, born in 1967. I commented that we grew up with Gene Cernan hitting golf balls on the moon and promises of us living there someday. We were influenced by TV re-runs like “The Brady Bunch”, “Leave it to Beaver”, and “Andy Griffith”. The 1970’s had the gas crunch, Nixon going to China, the Bicentennial, Jimmy Carter, and the Iranian Hostage crisis. As we entered high school Reagan protected us from the Soviets, and the Big 3 auto companies saved themselves from the Japanese. In college Bush 1 continued the legacy of Reagan and we graduated to a healthy job market. Clinton first scared us with Hillarycare and reinvented himself to ultimately steer a healthy economy where everyone talked dotcoms, and knew Peter Lynch’s name; investment returns less than 15% were despised. Even as we partied like it was 1999, life remained good, our careers flourished, and although terrorism was new to our shores, we all jumped on the real estate rocket ship.

Today I feel like a character in the Twilight Zone: I lost my job, like Donald Trump sold real estate at a loss, shed assets like “The Biggest Loser”, have watched two elections with dismay wondering how some get reelected and others lost, and been puzzled by the bank mess and healthcare. On television gay characters perpetuate, obesity delights, and sitcom dialogue offends. I used to love air travel, but George Bush created a Gestapo security force requiring me to show papers, remove my shoes, and in the latest round choose radiation or molestation to board a plane. My president claims Islam was the light of the world, but yet the followers of this political radicalism have killed over 3,100 Americans in the last decade, many on our own soil. America manufactures nothing, we regurgitate services, and our economy is fueled by debt and consumption; there are no jobs and it will take 20 years to recover the 8 million lost over the last three years. Last week the central bank announced it will print money until our economy is fixed, another crazy scheme parallel to the Fed’s efforts of the Great Depression. My only explanation is we are waiting for Rod Serling to step from behind a tree saying, “That’s the signpost up ahead – your next stop, The Twilight Zone!”

November 20, 2010 by Big Government General Rant Obama

It Will Get Worse -Be Prepared and Take Care of Yourself

It Will Get Worse -Be Prepared and Take Care of Yourself
12/28/2008 – by John Nelson (G8REngineer@yahoo.com)

I originally wrote this during the Christmas Holiday of 2008. Since I reference this paper in my blog, Economic Recovery? I wanted to post it here.————————–

My predictions for 2009 and 2010 are below. I felt compelled to put this together because I have shared these thoughts with my wife and many friends. I am bothered because I see a trend in daily newspapers and news programs to report with a degree of optimism, and then with surprise, when the news is worse than they had first reported. But, I keep finding the news is not worse than I expected.

As this year has gone by I have been concerned by current events as compared to history. Our government has bailed out defense contractors and other private companies before. In the 1930’s, the press and government denied what was taking place, but yet we have the benefit of history to know how bad things were. Today there is a certain level of optimism by many people and I hear comments like, “we are Americans and we always pull through.” While that statement may be true, I feel concern to blind acceptance that things are always going to be ok. Throughout this article I make references to natural disasters and other external events. I feel today’s economic issues are similar in that external forces are going to impact individual lives. If you ascertain nothing else from this writing I hope it is that the most significant economic changes in decades are currently occurring and preparing for the worst possible outcome will aid you in dealing with that possibility. Like all predictions or theories on trends, I may be wrong about the severity, it may be better or worse, or about the timing, events may come sooner or later. Regardless, I hope to convey concern and suggest preparation.

First, I want to provide some background information. I do not have cable television, I do not watch local news, and I do not read newspapers. On a daily and weekly basis I gather my news and opinions from the following sources:
Daily
• Bloomberg (http://www.bloomberg.com) – I first review world markets, particularly Asia and Europe just prior to going to bed and when I first wake. Second, the news wire provided here is far superior to any other source available
• Drudge Report (http://www.drudgereport.com) – a great link to numerous worldwide news articles
• Peak Oil (http://www.peakoil.com) – a link to various energy, climate change, policy, and other news articles
• Kirk Report (http://www.kirkreport.com) – Kirk is a day trader and offers stock information. But, he also links to a huge number of financial articles and opinions focusing on Fed and other central bank policies
• Economic Populist (http://www.economicpopulist.org) – Average people’s opinions about what is currently taking place. Of most interest are the specifics of research including graphs, data, charts and details to defend positions. Short articles, highly informative.
• Seeking Alpha (http://www.seekingalpha.com) – Similar to Economic Populist
• Yahoo Finance Home Page (http://finance.yahoo.com/) – What the average person sees for headlines
• NBC Nightly News (Podcast) – download video each day and watch following morning
• CNBC Fast Money (Podcast) – download video each day and watch the following morning
• BBC Global News (Podcast) – download and usually listen the next day
Weekly
• Kunstler Cast (Podcast) – James Howard Kunstler weekly podcast. Focus is on the end of suburbia due to changes with fossil fuels
• Bob’s Gold Price Column (http://goldprice.org/bob) – what the doom and gloomers think about gold and inflation
• Matt Simmons (http://www.simmons.com) – an energy expert

Change is taking place around us. If you had told me ten years ago that I might find myself living in a situation where I would not have power for 5-10 days, not be able to go to the grocery store to buy food – especially refrigerated items, I would find lines at gas stations, or buildings around me would be boarded up taking on a third world look, I would have laughed! However, I have lived through that situation in the summer of 2004 in New Smyrna Beach due to the hurricanes Charley, Frances, and Jean. From that experience I re-evaluated what it meant to be prepared. I thought I had everything I needed to survive: a couple of gallons of water, a bow saw, candles and a few flashlights. I learned how naïve I was. Since then, I have added a generator, chain saw and spare chains, lanterns, camping gear, stockpiles of gasoline each June, regular testing of the generator, and many other items.

Am I crazy or am I prudently prepared? Any resident of the state of Florida who does not keep minimum supplies is living in a state of denial. Other disasters and events have struck in the last 25 years in the United States and elsewhere – how prepared would you be to take care of your family?
• Northridge Earthquake
• Hurricane’s Katrina, Charley, Andrew, Hugo, Floyd, etc
• Coal Ash Levee break in Tennessee
• Devastating tornadoes
• Mount St. Helen’s
• Christmas Tsunami in Indonesia
• Rogue wave – Daytona Beach 1996 (or so)
• Springtime flooding in the Midwest
• Terrorist attacks of 9/11/2001
• Rodney King riots
• Heat wave in Europe killing hundreds in France
• War in Sarajevo, a beautiful Olympic city
• Cholera outbreaks in Africa, 2008

My point is disasters and upheavals occur regularly, and without warning. Our ability to take care of ourselves is what matters in each case. One need only picture scenes from the news of how Hurricane Katrina victims responded versus the same, significant, devastation from Hurricane Charley in Punta Gorda, Florida and the importance of proper and prudent preparation becomes apparent. More importantly, self-sufficiency and the ability to survive without reliance on others or civil authorities is incredibly apparent.

Most citizens in the United States have lost the ability to think and be self-sufficient for themselves. Take an automobile owner’s manual from the 1960’s and compare it to today, 40 years later. My 1967 Mustang has details on lubricating the chassis, changing a tire, performing valve adjustments, and other maintenance. Today’s owners manual states the warranty will be voided if the work is not performed by an authorized service center. I would assert the average person, especially Generation X or Y, will call roadside assistance and wait 90 minutes to have a tire changed instead of taking 10 minutes and performing the work themselves. Furthermore, if food becomes an issue of concern I believe most citizens will be at a loss. They will not know how to grow or kill food due to the basic belief that food comes from the grocery store. I had a friend share his concerns about the differences today versus the Great Depression – in the 30’s he feels a person would have given his place in a food line to another out of kindness and sacrifice. Today, he feels your life is at risk due to the selfishness of most people and their inability to survive without assistance.

One problem society seems to face is forgetting our history. As recently as summer 2008 gasoline prices were over $4.00/gallon. Behaviors were changing: scooter and motorcycle riding was up, SUV’s purchases declined catastrophically, people moved closer to work or considered changing jobs to reduce commutes, trips were combined, leisure travel was eliminated, and overall there was a general trend toward conservation. In 1974, due to political events, Americans had to ration gasoline resulting in huge shortages. Odd and even days were used to determine purchases and none could be made on Sunday’s. An immediate move toward smaller cars was made. To a lesser extent, the same problems arose in the early 1980’s and panic over dependence on oil again ensued.

During 2008, many newsworthy events have taken place, but without the benefit of seeing them all at once it is hard to imagine the economic and societal decay taking place around us:
• Rice and flour shortages on the west coast as Asian populations understood shortages oversees
• Rising global food prices due to US policies on ethanol
• Gas shortages in the Southeast US due to supply problems after hurricanes
• Over a dozen airlines went into bankruptcy or out of business
• Major brand stores went bankrupt (Steak n Ale, Circuit City, Linens and Things, etc)
• More than 170 banks failed as of 12/1/2008
• Christmas holiday spending was the lowest in 40 years
• Year over year housing price decline of 13%
• Unemployment claims are at their highest in 25 years
• Diminishing new job opportunities, compounding unemployment problems
• Dow Jones high of 14,000 in October 2007, low of 7570 in November 2008 – 45% erasure of value
• 1 out of 10 mortgages is in default or behind on payments
• Rising defaults on credit cards and car loans

Throughout the year, news sources have reported events with an element of denial or ultimately surprise when the data become available. Just this week, on 12/26/08 I heard the following reported on Fox News Network:
“Retailers were surprised at the worse drop in holiday sales in over 40 years.”

They went on to report possible reasons such as: there were 6 less shopping days between Thanksgiving and Christmas, a holiday snowstorm that kept consumers away from malls. The comical reporting came next: some consumers may be concerned about job loss and not spending as much, credit cards are maxed out and no new credit is available. Last but not least, they reported that the economy of the United States is consumer based and that the total GDP – the production of all products and services – is 70% consumerism. Thus, without the citizens consuming the economy is grinding to a halt. ‘They’ need to force ‘us’ to start consuming.

Our problem as a country and with our current economic situation is we do not make anything that anyone else wants. We make money and recycle it within our own borders. Thus, growth is a fantasy based on a false reality. The best example is real estate over the last six years; the rapid growth had nothing to do with a true increase in value due to supply and demand. Instead, the easy availability of credit perpetuated a debt-based drive toward home ownership where prior lending standard required 20% down (leveraging of 5:1) now allowed 5% down (leveraging 20:1). Finally, these standards were reduced to 0% or even -5% down – the equivalent of infinite leveraging. This was a house of cards doomed to collapse. During this time, the media constantly reported that housing prices would recover within a three to six months. This took place throughout late 2007 and all through 2008.

I had to set the background for where we have been before I felt I could make predictions on where we are going. My synopsis is below with a predictive narrative and finally recommendations to plan for the next 2-3 years:
• Housing – there will be no recovery in housing before the end of 2010. Housing prices in some areas inflated as much as 2%/month (24% per annum). Historically, housing rise at a rate equal to or just above inflation. Thus, it will take 10-15 years to work back to the 2006 highs. This is compounded further by an inventory of 4 million homes for sale when historic inventories are between 2 and 2.5 million. Last but not least, lending is not available to purchase homes with debt.
• Credit – Consumers will not have credit readily available until late 2009 or early 2010. Our consumption based economy will remain frozen until the spending engine can restart.
• Equity Markets – The Dow and S&P500 remain over valued. Current estimates of average earnings for the S&P are about $55. Thus, the S&P is trading on a forward multiplier of about 18-20. Analysts have consistently overvalued earnings and multipliers throughout 2008. Many blue-chip, dividend paying stocks are trading closer to a multiplier of 7-10. Historic norms are 14-15. Thus, using a multiplier of 10, the S&P should be at 550.
• Currency – The Fed has printed huge sums of monies. Taxpayers generally pay about $1 trillion per year in federal income taxes. In the last 12 months Congress and the Fed have promised about $7 trillion in bail outs, stimulus, and balance sheet increases. As large as the numbers are, a huge deflationary move has taken place due to the erasure of debt, thus offsetting some of the severity of the inflationary monetary policies. If other governments reduce lending rates and increase currencies, the dollar will not be devalued. However, inflation is inevitable.
• Oil and Energy – Oil has plunged to the mid-$30s from a high of $147/bbl in July 2008. Commodity markets tend to overshoot both directions to the high side and the low side while supply and demand realign. The issue with oil is not one that we are going to have no oil. Instead, the marginal cost to produce each subsequent barrel of oil is higher than the preceding barrel. This is the root concept of Peak Oil; supply will not keep pace with demand. Hubbert’s peak in the early 1970’s in the United States is well-documented and the same will apply to world supply and demand. During the peak there will be wild oscillations in prices, supply, and demand. We are at the beginning of the peak and experiencing the swings.
• Climatic Change – the Green lobby is promoting huge expenditures due to perceived global warming. Regardless of political views, climatic change appears to be taking place. The summer Artic ice in 2008 melted at a rate that allowed transit across the polar ice cap from North America to Asia and Europe that had not been possible due to being previously frozen for the last thousand years. Plants not exposed for a thousand years appeared this summer. The Greenland Ice shelf is melting at an unprecedented rate and the risk of a significant piece sliding into the ocean is increasing daily. There is less snow and ice to reflect sunlight causing a possible natural exponential warming trend that can not be reduced. Salinity values in the North Atlantic are changing, thus impacting the flow of the gulf stream and the natural cooling process in the northern hemisphere. These changes may be normal on a geological time scale which we can not measure or they may be due to increases in carbon in the atmosphere driven by man made changes in the last 150 years. Regardless, they appear to be taking place at a significant rate. This climatic change will impact coast cities, farming communities, water supplies, and world hunger.
• Geopolitical Issues – The middle-east remains an area of concern with religious based hatred of western civilizations being a catalyst for terrorism and oil policy changes. Israel has ramped up hostilities in Gaza Strip and India and Pakistan are both nuclear powers with increasing hostilities. Russia is establishing herself again as a world power, particularly with an interest on controlling energy and pipelines feeding Europe.
• Politics in the United States – A new, inexperienced president will try to create policies to save the country as he promised during the campaigns. At the same time, the House Speaker, Nancy Pelosi, has a strong liberal agenda that she believes she can now accomplish including: union supported legislation, national health care, increased taxes and wealthy producers, and a general move to a more socialized country. President Obama will work to pass legislation to make owning firearms more difficult, most likely through taxation on ammunition or illegality of personally possessing ammunition like Switzerland successfully implemented in 2007. He will try to create 3 million jobs, but that will not impact the economy for 5-7 years. He will support another stimulus package and saving the auto makers, moves that will further add to our debts.

In 2009, I see a temporary stock market rally based on the euphoria of a new president and false confidence that he can implement programs that will save the country and the average person without significant ownership or pain on their part. The House will pass another stimulus package which will not stimulate the economy as consumers hoard cash out of fear of losing their jobs. The president will be tested by events in the middle-east that will ultimately result in him appearing weak as nothing can be done to prevent the hostilities that have brewed for thousands of years. Throughout first quarter 2009 unemployment will continue to rise at unprecedented rates, reaching 10% by April and 12% by July. Housing prices will continue to decline as lending is not available. As unemployment increases, consumers will further reduce spending worried about their own future and possible job losses. Those that have a job will be reluctant to consider moving and will not purchase existing or new homes.

Company earnings will decline as consumer spending slows and worldwide spending continues to decline. The stock market will test new lows at 7000, 6000, and finally 5000 before settling into a period of flat trading between 5000 and 6500 for three to five years. The media will begin to report, with surprise, a rise in consumer prices and producer prices in late 2009 as inflation begins to take hold due to the failed policies of the Fed and Congress. Housing again will not restart because lending rates will increase from 5% back to rates not seen since the early 1980’s of 12-14%. Oil prices will also increase for three reasons: a devaluation of the dollar against world currencies, reduction in supply from OPEC to gain a foothold back to the $80/bbl level they desire, and the previously discussed middle-east tensions causing further supply concerns. Hyperinflation will take hold in early 2010 causing President Obama to sign executive orders for price controls on basic staples such as milk, bread, flour, and sugar. Ensuing hoarding and shortages will occur as citizens try to stockpile supplies in anticipation of shortages. Riots and general unrest, particularly in New Orleans, Detroit, Washington DC, and Los Angeles will be reported. These riots will occur because the average population has not been taught how to survive or be self-sufficient. Instead, they have been raised as consumers with all of the requirements of civility readily available at a nearby Wal-Mart.

My recommendations are to prudently prepare. Just like an impending storm in a coastal Florida city, preparation will be the key to survival. Some of these changes will happen slowly, others rapidly. Preparation may be as simple as just thinking about what might happen. Regardless, good preparation may involve purchasing or stockpiling goods not normally kept.
• Investments should be made over the short term with sales into rallies and purchases in the troughs
• Short the S&P with the SDS if the symbol goes below 80 (or 85) and sell when above 110. You can repeat this strategy many times
• Reduce debt – do not take on new debt
• Refinance at historically low interest rates. They will be at 10-15% in the future. Refinance below 5.25%. You will not see this again in your lifetime.
• Do not make debt based purchases when rates are rising or above 9%. The monthly cost of cash flow is 30% minimum
• Hoard cash – it will diminish in value, but cash is king. Cash provides options.
• Make wise purchases – do not buy luxury or un-needed items
• Adequate preparation for 7-10 days of survival without power should be a minimum requirement regardless of where you live
• Tools for debris removal, house repair, and fixing and repairing household appliances should be available
• Basic first aid kits should be kept in all cars and at home
• Personal relationships should be made with local doctors and police to facilitate first priority care for you and your family
• Consideration should be given to a safe haven, a place to go
• A family plan should exist in the event of communication failures (no cell phones)
• Arming with a shotgun, rifle, and pistol should be done. Weapons can be used for protection, hunting, or trade if needed. They will last a lifetime and if political policy changes they may become very valuable
• Further preparation should be made in the face of inflation – spend an extra $20/week grocery shopping on staples and dry goods
• Ammunition, Gold, and Jack Daniels will be the currency of the future. Whether or not you own a gun, purchase one to two boxes of shotgun shells, 9 mm, or .38 cal ammunition monthly. Purchase a bottle of Jack Daniels monthly. All can be sold later.
• Learn basic first aid
• Consider solar power supply options and re-evaluate power tools owned to be rechargeable
• Explore basics of wind and solar electricity to charge power tools and items to maintain basic civility
• Inverters that convert 12-volt battery supplies to 110 to use with modern amenities
• Find outdoor solar lights at garage sales or store sale’s racks and use as indoor lighting by moving the solar panel outdoors and the lights inside
• Accumulate good camping gear – lanterns, sleeping bags, stove, and tent. Camp for a weekend or longer periods to understand what it is like to live without basics. Add to gear over time to improve survivability. Every time I camp it seems I want more flashlights, batteries, knives, propane, and lanterns to make my life easier. If it rains I want to stay dry – bags, containers, tarps, etc.
• Blankets, jackets, scarves, gloves
• Store all tools, gear, in organized easy to take with you containers
• Ensure tetanus and other immunizations are up to date
• Stockpile basic medicines such as Aspirin and Benadryl, iodine tablets for radiation exposure
• Keep Mylar, Duct Tape, chain saw blades, tarps, nails, screws, tie wraps for emergency repairs and protection against weather, gas hazards

All of the above can be part of your basic lifestyle and should help you feel prepared without feeling like a nutso preparing for the end of the world. Choose to consider living with the idea that Wal-Mart and the grocery store may not be there tomorrow.

Test your preparation with the following questions:
1) I live in a winter storm area; can I survive the cold and snow without power for 7 days?
2) A tree lands on my house during a rainstorm, can I make repairs on my own?
3) A train derails spilling chlorine gas, what would I do?
4) I am traveling and a terrorist attack occurs, communication is cut with my family. What would we do?
5) Price controls take place and bread costs $10/loaf. Can I cook and survive?
6) Social unrest is occurring and the National Guard has implemented curfews. Power is out and the grocery stores are closed. What would I do?
7) Gasoline is available in rations of 20 gallons per month, what would I do?
8) We are evacuating to another locale due to …….I find myself in tense situations while buying gasoline, what would I do?
9) A nearby levee breaks flooding our town and my neighborhood, what would I do?
10) An earthquake occurs, or the ground shifts resulting in the collapse of my home, what would I do?

Books and websites I recommend
• “The Long Emergency”, James Howard Kunstler – a rather prophetic view of what is currently happening written in 2004
• “World Made by Hand”, James Howard Kunstler – a fictional look at ‘life after’. After collapse of the government due to some event such as war or social disorder we are living like it is 1890 again
• “The Creature from Jekyll Island” – How the Federal Reserve was created and the control of banking over all decisions
• “Jericho” – The CBS Television series, two seasons. The writing/acting is horrible in the first few episodes but improves. It is too much like other CBS shows. However, it strengthens. You should take away from this the relationships that form, how people deal with crisis, and the warring tribal nature that develops between towns
• “Atlas Shrugged”, Ayn Rand – a fictional look at the world in a sense where producers choose to no longer be victimized by policies that take from those who make
• “Lucifer’s Hammer”, Larry Niven – a fictional book I read in 1979 about a meteor colliding with the earth. The hero is an engineer who prepares and survives through self-sufficiency
• Peak Oil, Life after the Crash (http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/) – Worth reviewing to gain education about possible changes in the future
• Build a Wind Turbine (http://www.mdpub.com/Wind_Turbine/index.html) – Want to build a practical windmill or solar panel – great site to see someone doing it

September 2, 2010 by Big Government Depression Great Recession

Liberty – Part I

Liberty – Part I

I am writing this week’s column on Independence Day, aka the 4th of July. I am in Washington, D.C. with my wife and children, having traveled here in our RV to show them our nation’s capital and watch the fireworks from the National Mall tonight. Our first stop yesterday, was the most important highlight of the trip to me, a visit to the National Archives Museum. I wanted to share with my children the three most important documents in the world, “The Freedom Charters”, or the Declaration of Independence, The Constitution, and The Bill of Rights.

Like no other nation in history, our founding fathers saw a need to create a new form of government, one free from tyranny. Men like Thomas Paine, “Common Sense”, were opening the publics’ eyes by creating a tool for debate to separate from a Monarchy and move to Republicanism. On July 4th, 1776 fifty-six (56) men penned their signatures to this “experiment” and risked their lives to give to future generations the “Pursuit of Life, Liberty, and Happiness.” These mean, were young, idealistic, and working the land to survive and provide for their families.

Many today claim the writings and thoughts of these men are outdated and need to change with time. However, I would make another assertion; the simplicity of the singe handwritten page of the Declaration of Independence, or the four handwritten pages of the Constitution framed a government that was meant to first trust its people. As I walk around Washington, DC I now see a government that disdains its people, trusts itself, and honors itself. Our country is no longer our country, but one that belongs to a small group of elitists. This is obvious by the monuments, the size of buildings, security barriers along streets, thousands of police officers, and helicopters overflying. Ronald Reagan said, “Man is not free unless government is limited…As government expands, liberty contracts.”

Since our last Independence Day our country has changed dramatically, a huge socialist move has taken place under the guise of “Change and Hope.” Throughout history leaders have offered to care for their citizens, provide for them, but ultimately those experiments of evolved to dictatorships with tyrannical consequences: Mao, Hitler, Mussolini, Castro, and Stalin for example. Walking through Washington, I am proud to be an American, but like the bumper sticker on my RV says, “I love my Country…but fear my Government.”

July 12, 2010 by Big Government Civil Rights Freedom Stupid People

Clintons equal Contradiction

Clintons equal Contradiction

When former Presidents speak their mind it is amazing how the media rushes to give credibility to their statements. I find it interesting that both former Bush’s tend to keep their comments on the charitable and humanitarian side while both Carter and Clinton feel compelled to continue to govern and affect policy. Last week I wrote about former President Bush (“W”) and what history may regard as the worst change to our civil liberties, enacting the Patriot Act. This week, Bill Clinton, and Hillary, must be called out for what they are, the greatest liars to ever hold the highest office in the United States.

Probably no quote in history can be described as more concerning than, “I did not have sexual relations with that woman, Miss Lewinsky. I never told anybody to lie, not a single time; never. These allegations are false. And I need to go back to work for the American people. Thank you.” With the audacity of a teenager, Bill Clinton looked directly into the cameras and lied to the American people. Quickly defended by supporters and leftists, Clinton was given a pass on this issue as his behavior was regarded as irrelevant to the presidency and his ability to govern. Much ado was subsequently made regarding his statements and it took seven months to finally come to an admission of “improper physical relationship” on August 17, 1998.

During his presidency Clinton dealt with two attacks on American soil, the first World Trade Center bombing and the Oklahoma City Bombing. Obviously Oklahoma City made an impact on Clinton because it drove him to recently make comments comparing Tim McVeigh to the Tea Partiers of today. On April 16, Clinton said that “legitimate” comparisons can be drawn between today’s grass-roots anger and resentment toward the government and the right-wing extremism that bubbled up prior to the bombing of a federal building in Oklahoma City 15 years ago. Personally, I can find no comparison to Tim McVeigh, a militia movement sympathizer, who sought revenge against the federal government for “Waco” which had ended in the deaths of 76 people exactly two years earlier. In contrast, the Tea Party has gained coverage in the media with credibility as average citizens rightfully protesting, under the First Amendment, the new debt policies of the current administration.

The Clintons’ contradiction seems to come from protesting against the actions of the government, when a Republican is in office, which is acceptable, versus when a Democrat is running the kingdom, unacceptable. Clinton ordered the Waco attack and Obama is fueling debt which will be put on the shoulders of generations of Americans to come, and both have generated protests. Clinton hated the Vietnam War and policies of Republican President Nixon, as quoted on June 9, 1969, the Frederick, Maryland Post ran an article by Tom Cullen on antiwar sentiment among the 29 American Rhodes Scholars attending Oxford. “And that’s the way it should be,” says William J. Clinton, 22, of Hot Springs, Ark., “There would be something wrong with us if we could put the war out of our minds when our friends are being shot up in Vietnam.”
Hillary Clinton said it best though, in her 2003 tyrade on the floor of the Senate, “ I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and you disagree with this administration, somehow you’re not patriotic, and we should stand up and say, “WE ARE AMERICANS AND WE HAVE A RIGHT TO DEBATE AND DISAGREE WITH ANY ADMINISTRATION!” Both Clintons want their right to protest, but not your right to protest against Democrats.

May 8, 2010 by Big Government Stupid People

More from Big Brother

Published 4/21/2010

On April 8th an article appeared in USA Today about a court case involving the release of aircraft tail numbers through a Freedom of Information Act filing. In summary, the FAA tracks tail numbers of aircraft flight plans, this data is fed to a computer system and is available on public web sites like FlightAware.com. The FAA stores this information for a period of 90 days and ultimately purges it from their systems. Commercial, corporate and private flights are all tracked. As web sites and internet usage became more prevalent over the last 15 years, so did concerns over privacy; prompting the National Business Aircraft Association (NBAA) to work with the FAA to provide a mechanism to block tail numbers from public view. Without reason, a person or company could request this protection. Why, you might wonder? Prior to the protection, the most obvious examinations of the data were businesses spying on competitors, and stalking of high-profile individuals.

My concern in this court case is the misuse of information and the right to privacy. The successful argument to obtain data was made under the argument the air traffic control system is public and therefore no justification exists for a public entity to protect, or block the elements of this data. With the current populist movement taking place in America though one must wonder how many liberties citizens are willing to give up in the name of public information. It is easy to argue this data should be public when promoting anger at rich executives over the use of their expensive aircraft. However, the stockholders elect the Board of Directors who protects the use of assets within a company, and therefore makes companies more profitable, funding pension plans and retirement for millions. For whatever purpose: stalking, tracking competition, or as a hobby though one must wonder where the line is between privacy and public interest.

Similar to tail number tracking, several months ago I wrote about municipalities purchasing camera systems to scan and collect license plate information. In this case the municipalities argue the data will be purged within 30-60 days and the purpose of collection is for the public interest of tracking criminal activity. In my opinion it is easy to leap to the same conclusion as the FAA data, information collected by a public entity, for whatever purpose and regardless of whether it is purged, shall be made public. In our capitalistic society it won’t take long for a savvy web programmer to build a database, real-time feed, and search engine to make license plate data available. Like Flightaware, linking this to the owner of record, again a public DOT database, and make, model, and color of car will be effortless. Of course, with a date and time stamp of location from traffic cameras, using these data collection sites to know a person’s whereabouts at any time will be effortless. Thus, an employer can monitor whether a work from home employee is out and about during the day, or a divorce case could use such data to focus on the whereabouts of a spouse, or the paparazzi would know where an individual frequents.

I have previously quoted Ben Franklin regarding trading liberty for safety and my concerns remain the same. I see a trend, one where we willingly allow ourselves to be tracked, whether for credit bureaus, healthcare databases, aircraft travel or driving a car. We are now a society under constant monitoring and surveillance, and we willingly participated. In this case it is not law enforcement, but angry, jealous citizens watching each other.

April 24, 2010 by Big Government

Third Party Politics

Published in the Observer 3/31/2010

My wife and I watched a movie this weekend about a recent third party presidential candidate. Although we have had third party candidates for many decades, and throughout American politics, since the 1830’s the establishment of the two party system has dominated the American political process. Often the third party candidate has no more effect than “spoiler” for one of the major parties, such as Perot hurting the Republicans or Nader hurting the Democrats. Over time I would assert the public’s view of third party candidates has become one of ridicule. Sadly, if citizens would take time to listen these “spoilers” typically have more wisdom and validity to their point than their mainstream opponents.

A commonality between third party candidates is their claim that the two major parties are more alike than different. Glenn Beck regularly makes these claims, pointing to both parties giving their allegiance to major corporations and political benefactors, not the American people. Ralph Nader made similar claims in his campaign as a Green Party candidate in 2000. Democrats demonize Nader as a spoiler who should have supported Al Gore and hurt the party with his insistence that Al Gore and George W. Bush were “Tweedledee and Tweedledum”–they look and act the same, so it doesn’t matter which you get. Republicans similarly cried foul when Ross Perot took his campaign to the American people in his famous infomercials. Ultimately, he won 18.9% of the popular vote in 1992; the most for a third party candidate since Theodore Roosevelt in 1912, but not a single electoral vote was awarded to him.

Revolution is sewn in the seeds of discontent and it would appear those seeds are currently strewn across America as the “Tea Party” movement may be the next major opportunity for a successful third party candidate to be born into the American forefront. However, three major obstacles face this opportunity. I believe the first will be the hardest to overcome, the media. As our newspapers and televisions have suffered over the last two decades they have slowly been swallowed by a handful of major corporations that now dictate the news we see. Thus, news is no longer news, but a carefully controlled message. We know the New York Times singlehandedly contributed to the successfully election of Barak Obama by not running stories about his association with ACORN. Similarly, Ralph Nader’s campaign was pushed to the back pages of the NY Times in 2000, and no mention was made on the major networks unless it was to discuss his role as spoiler. Second, the balloting rules of individual states and the Electoral College are inherently designed to prevent a third party candidate from succeeding. In America, our vote for President does not matter and is only recorded for discussion; the Electoral College elects the President. Third, the Commission on Presidential Debates will determine who participates in the debate process. Nader learned the hard way in 2000, as he could not debate the other candidates.

Ironically, one of the most admired Presidents in American history was the last third party candidate to win election; Abraham Lincoln won in 1860 on the ticket of the 8 year old Republican Party. I must wonder how many opportunities for great leaders have been missed in the last 140 years due to our system we call “democracy”. As Congress and the President continue to move against the wishes of the American people I believe voters will take a stronger look at candidates that look less like the established political parties.

April 24, 2010 by Big Government

Politics and Science

Politics and Science

Published in the Observer 3/24/2010

Throughout history major corporations, governments, and philanthropists have played a role in funding scientific research. Funding is required to pay salaries, buy materials, and ultimately sustain research; therefore it is reasonable to expect the funding of research to be driven by self-interest. My favorite example would be the story of Archimedes discovering the concept of density to confirm King Hiero had been swindled in making his gold crown. The outcome of his research confirmed King Hiero’s concerns, and history benefitted from the discovery of the principle of density. We should be concerned when subjectivity in science overrules objectivity. The scientific method clearly outlines the objective process for creating a hypothesis, testing, analyzing data, and making valid conclusions.

I worked as an engineer, have a minor in mathematics, and am an expert in statistics, thus I believe I am well qualified to look at a set of data and make conclusions using experience and knowledge. However, I am not an expert in every field, nor is anyone. Therefore, I trust scientists to objectively examine data and come to valid conclusions. Under review, publishing, a peer process exists to monitor the scientific community. However, concern arises when this process is called into question and therefore raises doubts about conclusions and recommendations. If the conclusions are used to effect public policy the method and authorities providing the information must be trustworthy and verifiable. Continue reading…

April 24, 2010 by Big Government Freedom Stupid People

Incremental Destruction

Never underestimate the power of incrementalism or “shock” negotiation, effective methods to promote an agenda, even when fully opposed. Generally this seems too far-fetched for people to believe because they fall victim to the idea certain changes could never take place in America. For years I have asserted this is an effective method for change and destructive to our lifestyle and freedoms. Currently we are confronted with a plethora of assaults on our liberties, and when faced with a full assault, gaining any concessions makes it feel like a battle has been won, although loss occurred.

Examples of this incremental assault are obvious, our banks and automakers have been nationalized. You may be tempted to cry foul on this assertion, but we know the stories over the past year with the CEO of General Motors having been fired by the POTUS and the American taxpayer becoming the largest stockholder of GM. We have watched votes in Congress pushed through under cover of night, in contradiction to the President’s claim to make bills available online for five days before signing. Last week Democrats reiterated plans to move forward with healthcare, regardless of support from the minority party, or the people. The latest Rasmussen Poll, March 1, 2010, shows “52% of U.S. voters continue to oppose the plan proposed by the president and congressional Democrats.” When President Obama won the election by 53% of the popular vote he claimed he had a “clear mandate” from the people. By the same thought process, I would claim Congress and the President have a “clear mandate” from the people to stop healthcare.

In the early 1980’s proposals for a national identity system were proposed. Quickly this idea was squashed by public opinion and concerns over “1984” becoming the norm. Something else happened though and a national identity system slowly materialized. Today, you can not apply for insurance, attend college, get a loan, apply for a credit card, or apply for a gun license without providing a social security number. Incrementally, a national identity system successfully came into our lives. It took about fifteen years to become normal, with citizens willfully providing this information, “many medical providers are using the SSN as a patient identifier, thus hardening the number as a de facto national identifier,” testified by David Miller before the National Committee on Vital Health Statistics in a hearing in Chicago, Jul. 21, 1998.

I have previously discussed the intrusion of video cameras into all aspects of our lives. I personally noted this during the last week: at an intersection where I counted six cameras atop traffic lights, and a Wal-Mart where 17 separate cameras monitored the parking lot. Reiterating this concern further was a March 3, 2010 USA Today article, “Police partner with license plate readers.” In this article many municipalities are identified with the technology promoting claims to stop stolen vehicles and monitor crimes. Arguably, these governments have an opportunity to first increase revenue in these dire economic times, but more importantly they may track and save vehicle movements for potential misuse at a later date.

Over many objections our government continues to defy the wants of its citizens. Incrementally, through legislation, systems abuses of social security, monitoring citizens with cameras, and using the courts to re-interpret legislation and constitutionality, my children will never know what freedom is. Their lives will be changed by constant monitoring, national identity, and nanny-state mandates more akin to movies like “1984” and “Brazil”. Incrementally, tyranny is becoming the new normal, but yet we feel relief to have any freedom left.

March 13, 2010 by Big Government sheep